What drives potential accessibility decomposition? Temporal and spatial variability of the impact of infrastructure and population components in France, Spain, and Poland in the years 1960–2020

Piotr Rosik

Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization, Polish Academy of Sciences

Marcin Mazur

Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization, Polish Academy of Sciences

Marcin Stępniak

European Commission Joint Research Centre

Tomasz Komornicki

Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization, Polish Academy of Sciences

Sławomir Goliszek

Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization, Polish Academy of Sciences

Patryk Duma

Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization, Polish Academy of Sciences

Paweł Churski

Adam Mickiewicz University

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5198/jtlu.2025.2508

Keywords: Potential accessibility, infrastructure development, population change, France, Spain, Poland


Abstract

Changes in potential accessibility are the effect of both the expansion of transport infrastructure and shortening travel times, as well as land-use processes, e.g., changes in population size and distribution. The aim of the paper is to indicate the spatial and temporal variability of the impact of the infrastructure and population components on changes in potential accessibility in France, Spain and Poland over six decades in the period 1960-2020. The simulations for various parameters of the impedance function presented indicate that in nationwide conditions the greatest improvement in accessibility as a result of the infrastructure component takes place at a specific value of the so-called half-life, predominantly about 60 minutes. For the population component, the length of the trip is less important in assessing changes in accessibility. It has been shown that periods of very high impact of the development of road infrastructure on improving accessibility are mostly limited to a single decade in each of the countries examined, i.e., in the 1970s in France, the 1990s in Spain and the 2010s in Poland. Three approaches to distinguishing typologies have been proposed depending on the use of three dimensions of the interplay of the impact of accessibility components on changes in accessibility. These three dimensions are: (1) the dominance (of strength) of the components, (2) the combination of influence signs of the components and (3) the ratio of the components.


References

Axhausen, K. (2008). Accessibility: Long term perspectives. Journal of Transport and Land Use, 1(2), 5–22. https://doi.org/10.5198/jtlu.v1i2.66

Axhausen, K. W., Froelich, P., & Tschopp, M. (2011). Changes in Swiss accessibility since 1850. Research in Transportation Economics, 31(1), 72–80. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RETREC.2010.11.010

Baradaran, S., & Ramjerdi, F. (2001). Performance of accessibility measures in Europe. Journal of Transportation and Statistics, 4(2/3), 31–48.

Beria, P., Debernardi, A., & Ferrara, E. (2017). Measuring the long-distance accessibility of Italian cities. Journal of Transport Geography, 62, 66–79. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2017.05.006

Biosca, O., Spiekermann, K., & Stępniak, M. (2013). Transport accessibility at regional scale. Europa XXI, 24, 5–17. https://doi.org/10.7163/EU21.2013.24.1

Biosca, O., Rodrigo, R., Franco, N., & Ulied, A. (2013). Accessibility patterns: West Mediterranean case study. Europa XXI, 24, 19–31. https://doi.org/10.7163/Eu21.2013.24.2

Bruinsma, F., & Rietveld, P. (1998). The accessibility of European cities: Theoretical framework and comparison of approaches. Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space, 30(3), 499–521. https://doi.org/10.1068/A300499

Cascetta, E., Cartenì, A., Henke, I., & Pagliara, F. (2020). Economic growth, transport accessibility and regional equity impacts of high-speed railways in Italy: Ten years ex post evaluation and future perspectives. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 139, 412-428. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2020.06.010

Condeço-Melhorado, A., Gutiérrez, J., & García-Palomares, J. C. (2011a). Spatial impacts of road pricing: Accessibility, regional spillovers and territorial cohesion. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 45(3), 185–203. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRA.2010.12.003

Condeço-Melhorado, A., Martín, J. C., & Gutiérrez, J. (2011b). Regional spillovers of transport infrastructure investment: A territorial cohesion analysis. European Journal Transportation Infrastructure Research, 11, 389–404

Condeço-Melhorado, A., & Christidis, P. (2018). Road accessibility in border regions: A joint approach. Networks and Spatial Economics, 18(2), 363–383. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11067-017-9362-1

Condeço-Melhorado, A., Zofío, J. L., & Christidis, P. (2017). Drivers of changes in Spanish accessibility for the 1960–2010 period. European Transport Research Review, 9(2), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1007/S12544-017-0229-9

Delbosc, A., & Currie, G. (2011). Exploring the relative influences of transport disadvantage and social exclusion on well-being. Transport Policy, 18(4), 555–562. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2011.01.011

Dong, X., Ben-Akiva, M. E., Bowman, J. L., & Walker, J. L. (2006). Moving from trip-based to activity-based measures of accessibility. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 40(2), 163–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRA.2005.05.002

European Commission Directorate-General for Regional and Urban Policy, Lüer, C., & Gløersen, E. (2013). Population data collection for European local administrative units from 1960 onwards (Final report). Brussels: Publications Office of the European Commission. https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2776/96964

Geurs, K. T., & Ritsema van Eck, J. R. (2001). Accessibility measures: Review and applications. Evaluation of accessibility impacts of land-use transportation scenarios, and related social and economic impact (RIVM Rapport 408505006). Utrecht, the Netherlands: Urban Research Center, Utrecht University.

Geurs, K. T., & Ritsema van Eck, J. R. (2003). Evaluation of accessibility impacts of land-use scenarios: The implications of job competition, land-use, and infrastructure developments for the Netherlands. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 30(1), 69–87. https://doi.org/10.1068/b12940

Geurs, K. T., & van Wee, B. (2004). Accessibility evaluation of land-use and transport strategies: Review and research directions. Journal of Transport Geography, 12(2), 127–140. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2003.10.005

Geurs, K. T., Zondag, B., de Jong, G., & de Bok, M. (2010). Accessibility appraisal of land-use/transport policy strategies: More than just adding up travel-time savings. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 15(7), 382–393. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2010.04.006

Gutiérrez, J. (2001). Location, economic potential and daily accessibility: An analysis of the accessibility impact of the high-speed line Madrid–Barcelona–French border. Journal of Transport Geography, 9(4), 229–242. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0966-6923(01)00017-5

Gutiérrez, J., Condeço-Melhorado, A., López, E., & Monzón, A. (2011). Evaluating the European added value of TEN-T projects: A methodological proposal based on spatial spillovers, accessibility and GIS. Journal of Transport Geography, 19(4), 840–850. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2010.10.011

Hansen, W. G. (1959). How accessibility shapes land use. Journal of the American Institute of Planners, 25(2), 73–76. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944365908978307

Harris, C. D. (1954). The market as a factor in the localization of industry in the United States. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 44(4), 315–348. https://doi.org/10.1080/00045605409352140

Highways and Expressways database. (2024). Retrieved from http://saratlas.free.fr/ [no longer active]

Holl, A. (2007). Twenty years of accessibility improvements. The case of the Spanish motorway building program. Journal of Transport Geography, 15(4), 286–297. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2006.09.003

Huang, Y., & Zong, H. M. (2020). Spatiotemporal evolution of land transportation networks and accessibility in inland mountainous areas 1917–2017: A case study of Southwest China. Journal of Mountain Science, 17(9), 2262–2279. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11629-019-5790-3/METRICS

Jacobs-Crisioni, C., & Koomen, E. (2017). Population growth, accessibility spillovers and persistent borders: Historical growth in West-European municipalities. Journal of Transport Geography, 62, 80–91. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2017.05.008

Jacobs-Crisioni, C., Batista e Silva, F., Lavalle, C., Baranzelli, C., Barbosa, A., & Perpiña Castillo, C. (2016). Accessibility and territorial cohesion in a case of transport infrastructure improvements with changing population distributions. European Transport Research Review, 8(1), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1007/S12544-016-0197-5

Jażdżewska, I. (2006). Zmiany położenia środka ciężkości miast i ludności miejskiej w Polsce w XX wieku. Przegląd Geograficzny, 78(4), 561–574.

Jenelius, E., Petersen, T., & Mattsson, L. G. (2006). Importance and exposure in road network vulnerability analysis. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 40(7), 537–560. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRA.2005.11.003

Keeble, D., Owens, P. L., & Thompson, C. (1982). Regional accessibility and economic potential in the European community. Regional Studies, 16(6), 419–432. https://doi.org/10.1080/09595238200185421

Komornicki, T., & Goliszek, S. (2023). New transport infrastructure and regional development of Central and Eastern Europe. Sustainability, 15(6), 5263. https://doi.org/10.3390/SU15065263

Kotavaara, O., Antikainen, H., & Rusanen, J. (2011). Population change and accessibility by road and rail networks: GIS and statistical approach to Finland 1970–2007. Journal of Transport Geography, 19(4), 926–935. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2010.10.013

Lättman, K., Olsson, L. E., & Friman, M. (2016). Development and test of the perceived accessibility scale (PAC) in public transport. Journal of Transport Geography, 54, 257–263. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2016.06.015

López, E., Gutiérrez, J., & Gómez, G. (2008). Measuring regional cohesion effects of large-scale transport infrastructure investments: An accessibility approach. European Planning Studies, 16(2), 277–301. https://doi.org/10.1080/09654310701814629

Map of the construction status of highways and expressways. (2024). Retrieved from http://ssc.siskom.waw.pl/

Martens, K., Golub, A., & Robinson, G. (2012). A justice-theoretic approach to the distribution of transportation benefits: Implications for transportation planning practice in the United States. Transportation Research A: Policy and Practice, 46, 684–695. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2012.01.004

Martínez, L. M., & Viegas, J. M. (2013). A new approach to modelling distance-decay functions for accessibility assessment in transport studies. Journal of Transportation Geography, 26, 87–96. https://doi.org.10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.08.018

Mattsson, L. G., & Jenelius, E. (2015). Vulnerability and resilience of transport systems – A discussion of recent research. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 81, 16–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRA.2015.06.002

Monzon, A., Lopez, E., & Ortega, E. (2019). Has HSR improved territorial cohesion in Spain? An accessibility analysis of the first 25 years: 1990–2015. European Planning Studies, 27(3), 513–532. https://doi.org/10.1080/09654313.2018.1562656

Moser, J., Wenner, F., & L’Hostis, A. (2023). Visualizing transformations of geographical time–space by transport systems. The case of Germany, 1990–2020. Journal of Cartography and Geographic Information, 73(4), 301–315. https://doi.org/10.1007/S42489-023-00151-9

Nogués, S., & González-González, E. (2022). Are current road investments exacerbating spatial inequalities inside European peripheral regions? European Planning Studies, 30(10), 1845–1871. https://doi.org/10.1080/09654313.2021.1934407

Östh, J., Reggiani, A., & Galiazzo, G. (2014). Novel methods for the estimation of cost-distance decay in potential accessibility models. In A. Condeço Melhorado, A. Reggiani, & J. Gutiérrez (Eds.), Accessibility and spatial interaction (pp. 15–37). Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.

Panagiotopoulos, G., & Kaliampakos, D. (2021). Location quotient-based travel costs for determining accessibility changes. Journal of Transport Geography, 91, 102951. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2021.102951

Pot, F. J., van Wee, B., & Tillema, T. (2021). Perceived accessibility: What it is and why it differs from calculated accessibility measures based on spatial data. Journal of Transport Geography, 94, 103090. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2021.103090

Randák, J., Marada, M., & Vrtiška, M. (2021). Application of potential accessibility models in decision-making on HSR routing: The case of rapid connections in Czechia. Acta Universitatis Carolinae, Geographica, 56(1), 108–119. https://doi.org/10.14712/23361980.2021.5

Reggiani, A., Bucci, P, & Russo, G. (2011a). Accessibility and network structures in the German commuting. Networks and Spatial Economics, 11(4), 621–641.

Reggiani, A., Bucci, P., Russo, G. (2011b). Accessibility and impedance forms: Empirical applications to the German commuting network. International Regional Science Review, 34(2), 230–252. https://doi.org/10.1177/0160017610387296

Rich, D. C. (1978). Population potential, potential transportation cost and industrial location. Area, 10(3), 222–226.

Rokicki, B., & Stepniak, M. (2018). Major transport infrastructure investment and regional economic development – An accessibility-based approach. Journal of Transport Geography, 72, 36–49. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.08.012

Rosenstein-Rodan, P. N. (1943). Problems of Industrialization of Eastern and Southeastern Europe. The Economic Journal, 53(210/211), 202–211. https://doi.org/10.2307/2226317

Rosik, P., Komornicki, T., Duma, P., & Goliszek, S. (2022). The effect of border closure on road potential accessibility in the regions of the EU-27. The case of the COVID-19 pandemic. Transport Policy, 126, 188–198. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRANPOL.2022.07.008

Rosik, P., Komornicki, T., Goliszek, S., & Duma, P. (2018). Improvement of accessibility in Eastern Europe due to implementation of road projects in the Via Carpatia Corridor. Mitteilungen Der Oesterreichischen Geographischen Gesellschaft, 160, 177–196. https://doi.org/10.1553/MOEG160S177

Rosik, P., Pomianowski, W., Komornicki, T., Goliszek, S., Szejgiec-Kolenda, B., & Duma, P. (2020). Regional dispersion of potential accessibility quotient at the intra-European and intranational level. Core-periphery pattern, discontinuity belts and distance decay tornado effect. Journal of Transport Geography, 82, 102554. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2019.102554

Rosik, P., Stepniak, M., & Komornicki, T. (2015). The decade of the big push to roads in Poland: Impact on improvement in accessibility and territorial cohesion from a policy perspective. Transport Policy, 37, 134–146. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRANPOL.2014.10.007

Salas-Olmedo, M. H., García, P., & Gutiérrez, J. (2015). Accessibility and transport infrastructure improvement assessment: The role of borders and multilateral resistance. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 82, 110–129. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRA.2015.09.009

Schürmann, C., & Talaat, A. (2002). The European peripherality index, 42nd Congress of the European Regional Science Association: From industry to advanced services — Perspectives of European metropolitan regions. Paper presented at the European Regional Science Association (ERSA), Louvain-la-Neuve, August 27–3, 2002, Dortmund, Germany.

Spiekermann, K., & Neubauer, J. (2002). European accessibility and peripherality: Concepts, models and indicators. Stockholm: Nordregio.

Spiekermann, K., & Wegener, M. (1994). The shrinking continent: New time—Space maps of Europe. Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science, 21(6), 653–673. https://doi.org/10.1068/B210653

Spiekermann, K., Wegener, M., Květoň, V., Marada, M., Mattern, T., Stych, P., … & Stępniak, M., (2015). TRACC transport accessibility at regional/local scale and patterns in Europe. In Volume 3 TRACC Regional Case Study Book (pp. 1–16). Amsterdam: ESPON Applied Research.

Spiekermann, K., Wegener, M., Květoň, V., Marada, M., Schürmann, C., Biosca, O., Ulied Segui, A., … & Stepniak, M. (2015). TRACC transport accessibility at regional/local scale and patterns in Europe (Final report). Amsterdam: ESPON.

Stelder, D. (2016). Regional accessibility trends in Europe: Road infrastructure, 1957–2012. Regional Studies, 50(6), 983–995. https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2014.952721

Stelder, D., Groote, P. D., & de Bakker, M. (2013). Changes in road infrastructure and accessibility in Europe since 1960 (Final report). Groningen, the Netherlands: Urban and Regional Studies Institute, University of Groningen.

Stepniak, M., & Rosik, P. (2013). Accessibility improvement, territorial cohesion and spillovers: A multidimensional evaluation of two motorway sections in Poland. Journal of Transport Geography, 31, 154–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2013.06.017

Stępniak, M., & Jacobs-Crisioni, C. (2017). Reducing the uncertainty induced by spatial aggregation in accessibility and spatial interaction applications. Journal of Transport Geography, 61, 17–29. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTRANGEO.2017.04.001

Stępniak, M., & Rosik, P. (2016). From improvements in accessibility to the impact on territorial cohesion: The spatial approach. Journal of Transport and Land Use, 9(3), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.5198/JTLU.2015.570

Stępniak, M., & Rosik, P. (2018). The role of transport and population components in change in accessibility: The influence of the distance decay parameter. Networks and Spatial Economics, 18(2), 291–312. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11067-017-9376-8

Śleszyński, P. (2021). Rozwój miast w Polsce a ich położenie względem autostrad i dróg ekspresowych. Przegląd Geograficzny, 93(2), 233–248. https://doi.org/10.7163/PrzG.2021.2.5

Spiekermann, K., Wegener, M., Květoň, V., Marada, M., Schürmann, C., Biosca, O., Ulied Segui, A., Antikainen, H., Kotavaara, O., Rusanen, J., Bielańska, D., Fiorello, D., Komornicki, T., Rosik, P., & Stepniak, M. (2015a). TRACC transport accessibility at regional/local scale and patterns in Europe. Final Report)

Szmytkie, R. (2022). Kierunki zmian ludnościowych w największych miastach Polski w latach 1980‑2020. Przegląd Geograficzny, 94(3), 307–325. https://doi.org/10.7163/PrzG.2022.3.2

Więckowski, M., Michniak, D., Bednarek-Szczepańska, M., Chrenka, B., Ira, V., Komornicki, T., …, & Wiśniewski, R. (2014). Road accessibility to tourist destinations of the Polish-Slovak borderland: 2010-2030 prediction and planning. Geographia Polonica, 87(1), 5–26. https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.2014.1.

Wiśniewski, S., Borowska-Stefańska, M., Kowalski, M., & Sapińska, P. (2020). Vulnerability of the accessibility to grocery shopping in the event of flooding. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 87, 102510. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRD.2020.102510