Willingness to change car use under a tradable driving credits scheme: A comparison between Beijing and the Netherlands

Nico Dogterom

Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands

Yue Bao

School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China

Meng Xu

School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China

Dick Ettema

Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5198/jtlu.2018.1039

Keywords: tradable driving credits, car use, travel demand management, willingness to change, Beijing, the Netherlands


Abstract

Recent years have seen a surge of interest in the concept of tradable driving credits (TDC) as an alternative to road pricing and driving restriction measures. However, empirical research into drivers’ responses to a TDC measure is limited and even lacking for the Chinese context where the concept of TDC has attracted considerable attention. This paper reports the results of a survey that was the first to investigate drivers’ willingness to change car use under a hypothetical distance-based TDC measure in China (Beijing) and aimed to compare these results with the results of a comparative Dutch survey. We observed that willingness to change was considerably higher in Beijing than in the Netherlands and that a substantial share of Beijing car owners indicated an increase in car use. In both contexts, higher education and higher car use intensity had a positive effect on the willingness to change, whereas higher income had a negative effect. We found mixed results for household size, respondents’ car attitudes, and TDC scenario characteristics.

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